April 6, 2011

An Independent Valuation of Cellestis

As reported here regarding the proposed acquisition of Cellestis by Qiagen NV, Peter Lawson of investment firm Mizuho Securities said the deal
"fits with the high growth, high multiple acquisitions selected by management. While near-term dilution of a few pennies and the premium valuation are not positives, we believe the announcement removes the acquisition overhang for the stock, and long-term accretion and growth are a positive."

Lawson raised the 12-month target on Qiagen's shareprice to $24 from $20
According to publicly available sources Qiagen NV (QIA) has 232.83M shares which, at $20 is $4.656B and at $24 is $5.578B. If you were to accept the valuation of Peter Lawson of Mizuho Securities the purchase of Cellestis, for $341.3M will improve the value of QIA by $931.2M!

Now I know that there is always a margin between wholesale and retail but 270%....

(For the exercise I have assumed parity for the $AU)

HT: puzzled